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Dividend Aristocrats In Focus: Dover Corporation


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    Updated on March 6th, 2025 by Nathan Parsh

    The Dividend Aristocrats consist of companies that have raised their dividends for at least 25 years in a row. Over the decades, many of these companies have become huge multinational corporations, but not all of them.

    You can see the full list of all 69 Dividend Aristocrats here.

    We created a full list of all Dividend Aristocrats, along with important financial metrics like price-to-earnings ratios and dividend yields. You can download your copy of the Dividend Aristocrats list by clicking on the link below:

     

    Disclaimer: Sure Dividend is not affiliated with S&P Global in any way. S&P Global owns and maintains The Dividend Aristocrats Index. The information in this article and downloadable spreadsheet is based on Sure Dividend’s own review, summary, and analysis of the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF (NOBL) and other sources, and is meant to help individual investors better understand this ETF and the index upon which it is based. None of the information in this article or spreadsheet is official data from S&P Global. Consult S&P Global for official information.

    Dover Corporation (DOV) has raised its dividend for 69 consecutive years, one of the longest dividend growth streaks in the stock market.

    The company has achieved such an exceptional dividend growth record thanks to its strong business model, resilience to recessions, and steady long-term growth.

    There is room for continued dividend raises each year going forward, but on the other hand the stock appears to be overvalued right now.

    Business Overview

    Dover is a diversified global industrial manufacturer that offers its customers equipment and components, consumable supplies, aftermarket parts, software, and digital solutions.

    It has annual revenues of nearly $8 billion, with just over half of its revenues generated in the U.S., and operates in five segments: Engineered Products, Clean Energy & Fueling, Imaging & Identification, Pumps & Process Solutions, and Climate & Sustainability Technologies.

    On January 30th, 2025, Dover reported fourth-quarter and full-year results. Revenue grew 1% for the quarter to $1.93 billion, which was $20 million less than expected. Adjusted earnings-per-share of $2.20 compared unfavorably to $2.45 in the prior year, but this was $0.12 ahead of estimates. For the year, revenue improved 1% to $7.75 billion while adjusted earnings-per-share of $8.29 compared to $8.80 in 2023.

    For the quarter, organic revenue declined 0.3% year-over-year, but bookings grew by 7%. Engineered Products had organic growth of 2% due to gains in vehicle aftermarket and fluid dispensing were offset by shipment timings in aerospace and defense.

    Clean Energy & Fueling increased 8% due to higher shipments and new orders in clean energy. Volume improvements for aboveground retail fueling equipment also aided results.

    Image & Identification was up 1% due to demand for core marking and coding printers, consumables, services, and aftermarket.

    Revenue for Pumps and Process Solutions grew 3% due to higher demand for thermal connectors, precision components, and single-use biopharma components.

    Climate & Sustainability Technologies was the company’s lone weak spot, as revenue fell 13%. U.S. CO2 systems reached a new record, but declines in European markets more than offset this strength. Bookings were up 16% for the quarter.

    Overall, Dover enters 2025 with strong momentum in its business.

    Source: Investor Presentation

    Dover expects adjusted earnings-per-share in a range of $9.30 to $9.50 for 2025. At the midpoint, this would represent 13.4% growth from 2024. Organic revenue growth is  projected to be in a range of 3% to 5%.

    Growth Prospects

    Dover has pursued growth by expanding its customer base and through bolt-on acquisitions. To reshape its portfolio and maximize its long-term growth, Dover routinely executes a series of bolt-on acquisitions and occasional divestments.

    The management team is constantly focused on delivering the most value to shareholders through portfolio transformation, which has generally been successful. The company’s prospects for 2025 also look strong in every aspect of its business.

    Source: Investor Presentation

    Today, the company is a highly diversified industrial company with an attractive growth profile. In addition, Dover is also likely to enhance its earnings per share via opportunistic share repurchases.

    We see 8% long-term earnings-per-share growth in the years to come, driven primarily by revenue increases, with a boost from share repurchases reducing the float.

    Competitive Advantages & Recession Performance

    Dover is a manufacturer of industrial equipment. The company offers highly engineered products that are critical to its customers. Switching to another supplier is also uneconomic for its customers because the risk of lower performance is material.

    Therefore, Dover essentially operates in niche markets, which offer the company a significant competitive advantage. This competitive advantage helps explain Dover’s consistent long-term growth trajectory.

    On the other hand, Dover is vulnerable to recessions due to its reliance on industrial customers. In the Great Recession, its earnings per share were as follows:

    Dover got through the Great Recession with just one year of decline in its earnings per share, and the company almost fully recovered from the recession in 2010.

    Given its sensitivity to economic cycles, it is impressive that Dover has grown its dividend for 69 consecutive years.

    Another reason is management’s conservative dividend policy, which targets a payout ratio of around 30%. This policy provides a wide margin of safety during rough economic periods. The expected payout ratio for 2025 is just 22%.

    Overall, Dover will undoubtedly continue to raise its dividend for many more years thanks to its low payout ratio, decent recessions resilience, and healthy balance sheet.

    Valuation & Expected Returns

    Dover is expected to generate earnings-per-share of $9.40 for 2025. That means the stock trades at 19.8 times this year’s earnings, which is higher than our estimate of fair value at 18 times earnings.

    That implies a ~1.9% annual headwind to total returns from valuation compression over the next five years.

    Including 8% expected annual earnings-per-share growth, the 1.1% current dividend yield, and a 1.9% annualized compression of the price-to-earnings ratio, we expect Dover to offer 6.9% average annual return over the next five years.

    This puts Dover stock into the territory of a hold rating.

    Final Thoughts

    Dover has an impressive dividend growth record, with nearly seven decades of dividend raises. This is an impressive achievement, particularly given the company’s dependence on industrial customers, who tend to struggle during recessions.

    Dover has consistently grown its earnings per share over the years, which has translated into annual dividend increases.

    This strategy gives the company ample room to continue growing for many more years. The stock is slightly overpriced, meaning it earns a hold rating.

    Additionally, the following Sure Dividend databases contain the most reliable dividend growers in our investment universe:

    If you’re looking for stocks with unique dividend characteristics, consider the following Sure Dividend databases:

    The major domestic stock market indices are another solid resource for finding investment ideas. Sure Dividend compiles the following stock market databases and updates them monthly:

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